diff --git a/docs/FIFA17_TRANSFER_MARKET_WIRE.md b/docs/FIFA17_TRANSFER_MARKET_WIRE.md
index 0c89598..9a5f45d 100644
--- a/docs/FIFA17_TRANSFER_MARKET_WIRE.md
+++ b/docs/FIFA17_TRANSFER_MARKET_WIRE.md
@@ -147,3 +147,52 @@ today (Core models no untradeable items) and necessary — a hardcoded `true` gr
 out both list buttons — but it will misrepresent SBC / promo / loan rewards once
 those exist. `untradeable` belongs on the owned-item instance as authoritative
 state, not inferred from definition, resourceId or rarity.
+
+---
+
+## MEASURED in the live client — 2026-08-17
+
+Read out of the running `FIFA17.exe` (pid-resolved, CardsDLL slide proven against
+the on-disk FNV prologue) with `fifa17-recon/tools/trade_gate_probe.py`, which
+extends `gate_byte_probe.py` to vtable slot `+0x270` as the transfer-market
+analysis asked for. Read-only: `/proc/<pid>/mem` `O_RDONLY` + `pread`.
+
+| Gate | Python era (2026-08-06) | Now | Owner |
+|---|---|---|---|
+| `IS_TRADING_ENABLED` `model+0x1fd2e` (slot `+0x270`) | **0** | **1** | settings struct `+0x28`; was zeroed by `userInfo.feature.trade` |
+| `TRADE_PILE_SIZE` `model+0x1fd1c` | **0** | **100** | `userMassInfo.pileSizeClientData` key 2 |
+| watch-list size `model+0x1fd20` | **0** | **50** | same member, key 4 |
+| `storeEnabled` `model+0x1fd2f` | 1 | 1 | control |
+| `IS_FRIENDLY_SEASON` / `IS_DRAFT_MODE` / `packOpeningAnimation` | 1 | 1 | controls |
+
+**CONFIRMED: every CardsDLL-supplied input the transfer-market analysis named as a
+blocker is now open.** The Rust host does this by construction — it emits
+`userInfo.feature` as `{}` (no `trade` member, so the kill switch at `0x180174f19`
+never arms: it fires only when atom `0x330` inside `0x11c` parses as exactly 1) and
+it already sends `pileSizeClientData` keys 2 and 4. Serving `tradingEnabled: 1` in
+the settings `configs` array would NOT have worked, because that tail runs after
+every member is parsed and would overwrite it.
+
+### What this rules out
+
+The Transfer List Actions panel not opening on an own listing is therefore **not**:
+
+* an ownership field — FIFA 17's auctionInfo has no `tradeOwner`/`sellerId` atom;
+* `IS_TRADING_ENABLED`, `TRADE_PILE_SIZE` or the watch-list size — all measured open;
+* the cancel route — `DELETE ut/delete/{ns}/trade/{tradeId}` is the PE's spelling and
+  is what we serve;
+* `tradeState` / `bidState` / `expires` spellings — all three are the PE's own
+  vocabularies and values.
+
+Per the analysis's own falsifier ("if the byte reads 1 and the screen still refuses,
+the exe-side predicate has a term we have not enumerated"), the remaining term is
+**exe-side UI script**, which CardsDLL does not own and the server cannot set.
+Status: **UNKNOWN**, and it is now the narrowest it has ever been.
+
+### Confirmed fidelity bug found on the way
+
+`expires` was a frozen `3600` on every poll, so the client's live countdown never
+moved and an auction could never run out. Now derived from `created_at + duration`
+(duration taken from the `ISStart` body), clamped at 0, with an aged-out active
+listing projecting as `expired`/`none` — FIFA 17's relistable state. Verified live:
+the standing listing correctly reads `expires: 0` once past its hour.
diff --git a/fifa17-recon/tools/trade_gate_probe.py b/fifa17-recon/tools/trade_gate_probe.py
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..592c74d
--- /dev/null
+++ b/fifa17-recon/tools/trade_gate_probe.py
@@ -0,0 +1,76 @@
+#!/usr/bin/env python3
+"""Read the FIFA 17 TRADING gate byte out of the live client. READ-ONLY.
+
+Extends tools/gate_byte_probe.py with vtable slot +0x270 (IS_TRADING_ENABLED,
+displacement 0x1fd2e) plus the two pile-size dwords, which the transfer-market
+analysis names as the market screen's CardsDLL-supplied inputs.
+
+Opens /proc/<pid>/mem O_RDONLY and preads. Nothing here can write.
+"""
+import os, struct
+
+pid = None
+for d in os.listdir('/proc'):
+    if d.isdigit():
+        try:
+            if open('/proc/%s/comm' % d).read().strip() == 'FIFA17.exe':
+                pid = int(d)
+                break
+        except Exception:
+            pass
+assert pid, "FIFA17.exe not running"
+
+base = None
+for ln in open('/proc/%d/maps' % pid):
+    if 'CardsDLL' in ln:
+        base = int(ln.split('-')[0], 16)
+assert base, "CardsDLL not mapped (client has not reached Ultimate Team)"
+slide = base - 0x180000000
+
+fd = os.open('/proc/%d/mem' % pid, os.O_RDONLY)
+
+
+def rd(va, n):
+    return os.pread(fd, n, va)
+
+
+# Control: the FNV atom-hash prologue must match the on-disk PE before any other
+# address is trusted.
+pe = open('/mnt/games/FIFA 17/CardsDLL_Win64_retail.dll', 'rb').read()
+
+
+def f(va):
+    return va - 0x180000000 - 0x1000 + 0x400
+
+
+ok = pe[f(0x180180d00):f(0x180180d00) + 32] == rd(0x180180d00 + slide, 32)
+print("pid=%d slide=%#x FNV control=%s" % (pid, slide, "MATCH" if ok else "MISMATCH"))
+assert ok, "slide not proven; refusing to read further"
+
+obj = struct.unpack('<Q', rd(0x1802e6398 + slide, 8))[0]
+vt = struct.unpack('<Q', rd(obj, 8))[0]
+print("model=%#x vtable(static)=%#x" % (obj, vt - slide))
+
+SLOTS = [
+    (0x270, 'IS_TRADING_ENABLED   '),
+    (0x2b0, 'IS_FRIENDLY_SEASON   '),
+    (0x2c8, 'IS_DRAFT_MODE        '),
+    (0x2e0, 'packOpeningAnimation '),
+]
+print("\n-- gate bytes decoded from their accessor stubs --")
+for off, name in SLOTS:
+    slot = struct.unpack('<Q', rd(vt + off, 8))[0]
+    stub = rd(slot, 8)
+    if stub[:3] == b'\x0f\xb6\x81':
+        disp = struct.unpack('<I', stub[3:7])[0]
+        val = rd(obj + disp, 1)[0]
+        print("  slot +%#05x  %s disp=%#x  VALUE=%d" % (off, name, disp, val))
+    else:
+        print("  slot +%#05x  %s NOT a movzx stub: %s" % (off, name, stub.hex()))
+
+print("\n-- market screen inputs --")
+for disp, name in [(0x1fd1c, 'TRADE_PILE_SIZE'), (0x1fd20, 'watchListSize  '),
+                   (0x1fd2e, 'tradingEnabled '), (0x1fd2f, 'storeEnabled   ')]:
+    print("  model+%#x  %s = %d" % (disp, name, rd(obj + disp, 1)[0]))
+
+os.close(fd)